Fund value$10,205+2.0% since 2026-08-20
Cash$16ready to deploy
Positions$10,189100% deployed
Unrealized P&L$205open positions
Macro overlay
週三美股:標普 −0.4%、納指 −0.6%,30 年期美債息升至 5.39%(2004 年以來最高),因 Flash PMI 遠超預期;紐約聯儲 Williams 話年底前再加息「合理」,10 月加息機率 69%。今日(週四)Trump–習峰會喺華盛頓舉行(關稅休戰 11-10 到期、AI、台灣、伊朗、關鍵礦物),係當日一級事件,加上債息急升,基金宇宙全部覆蓋 −10;加密唔調整。GOOGL 週三 −3.8% 收 $337.83,剛好坐喺 200 日線($337.55)——原因係 Meta Connect 前 AI 競爭情緒(Muse 12 日 280 萬下載)、2026 資本開支上調至 $195–205B、反壟斷罰款;基金持 GOOG 4 股(平均 $343.91),而家係「睇住 200 日線」而唔係沽出——收市跌穿先觸發 TRIM。基金現金 $15.80,100% 投入——今日冇訂單。加密:BTC 9-23 UTC 收 $84,381 = 突破後第三日企穩 $82,191,回踩低位 $83,821,前半接返 $83,000 未成交;ETH 收 $2,684、SOL 收 $114.99 都喺計劃內;TAO 9-23 −9% 收 $287 仍高於 200 日線 $244;黃金 GLDM 跌穿 200 日線 6%,係外部持倉嘅 TRIM 訊號。美股即市數據係週三收市價(報告喺美股交易時段生成)。
Events: Trump–習峰會 今日華盛頓(覆蓋 −10) · 30 年期美債息 5.39% 22 年新高;10 月加息機率 69% · GOOGL −3.8% 坐喺 200 日線 $337.55(基金持 GOOG 4 股) · PCE 9-30;基金 100% 投入,現金 $15.80
Today's orders
No orders today — nothing to buy or sell; holds and signals are on the scoreboard below.
Scoreboard
| Ticker | Price | 1m | 12m |
vs 200D | Score | Action |
|---|
| Fund universe — US stocks |
| SPY |
$767.81 |
+0.8% |
+17.0% |
+7.5% |
+65 |
STRONG BUY |
| QQQ |
$741.21 |
+5.0% |
+24.5% |
+11.8% |
+65 |
STRONG BUY |
| NVDA |
$225.51 |
+8.3% |
+26.7% |
+13.5% |
+65 |
STRONG BUY |
| AAPL |
$337.02 |
+8.6% |
+33.0% |
+17.5% |
+50 |
BUY |
| AMZN |
$249.27 |
-4.9% |
+12.9% |
+3.6% |
+35 |
BUY |
| MSFT |
$500.59 |
+2.7% |
-0.9% |
+16.3% |
+20 |
HOLD |
| META |
$744.10 |
+33.2% |
-1.2% |
+19.1% |
+15 |
HOLD |
| GOOGL |
$337.83 |
-2.9% |
+34.6% |
+0.1% |
+0 |
HOLD |
| TSLA |
$380.12 |
+8.9% |
-10.7% |
-4.1% |
-45 |
TRIM |
| Watch only — external accounts |
| HYPE |
$92.48 |
+16.1% |
+102.7% |
+59.2% |
+60 |
STRONG BUY |
| ONDO |
$0.50 |
+38.4% |
-45.5% |
+50.2% |
+35 |
BUY |
| BTC |
$84,274.50 |
+7.3% |
-25.7% |
+18.9% |
+30 |
BUY |
| ETH |
$2,672.59 |
+9.4% |
-35.7% |
+27.8% |
+30 |
BUY |
| SOL |
$115.34 |
+19.4% |
-45.5% |
+36.6% |
+30 |
BUY |
| MSTR |
$162.20 |
+32.3% |
-50.5% |
+18.6% |
+30 |
BUY |
| TAO |
$290.17 |
+26.6% |
-6.9% |
+19.1% |
+30 |
BUY |
| GLDM |
$84.75 |
-7.9% |
+13.7% |
-5.5% |
-35 |
TRIM |
Ticker analysis
regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +15 · overlay -10
Close$767.81
vs 200-day avg+7.5%
vs 50-day avg+1.1%
RSI 14 / RSI 354 / 52
MACD+0.69 rising
Return 1m+0.8%
Return 3m+5.0%
Return 12m+17.0%
From 52-week high-1.1%
Volatility (ATR14)+0.9%
$767.81,離 52 週高 −1.1%,RSI14 54。分數 +75 → 峰會/債息覆蓋 −10 = +65。基金持 1 股(平均 $761.52),現金 $15.80 冇得加。債息 5.39% 係今日主要風險——長債息破頂通常先壓估值高嘅增長股,SPY 相對硬淨。訊號:持有;如有新資金,回踩 50 日線 $759 係入場位。 — 200 日線之上 +7.6%,12 個月 +17%,MACD 向上;峰會 + 債息覆蓋 −10
regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +15 · overlay -10
Close$741.21
vs 200-day avg+11.8%
vs 50-day avg+4.3%
RSI 14 / RSI 364 / 70
MACD+3.58 rising
Return 1m+5.0%
Return 3m+4.4%
Return 12m+24.5%
From 52-week high-0.8%
Volatility (ATR14)+1.3%
$741.21,離 52 週高 −0.8%,RSI3 70、布林 %b 0.98(短線偏熱)。+75 → +65。基金持 3 股(平均 $712.03,+4.1%),現金冇得加。Nasdaq 對債息最敏感——若 10 年期再破頂,回踩 50 日線 $711 係正常。持有,唔追。 — 200 日線之上 +12%,MACD 上升;覆蓋 −10
regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +15 · overlay -10
Close$225.51
vs 200-day avg+13.5%
vs 50-day avg+4.8%
RSI 14 / RSI 356 / 58
MACD+0.49 rising
Return 1m+8.3%
Return 3m+13.5%
Return 12m+26.7%
From 52-week high-4.1%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.7%
$225.51,離 52 週高 −4%,RSI14 56。+75 → +65。基金持 7 股(平均 $221.85,+1.7%),現金 $15.80 冇得加。即市 $222.4(−1.4%,正常波動)。持有;回踩 50 日線 $215 係新資金入場位。 — 200 日線之上 +13%,MACD 轉正;覆蓋 −10
regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$92.48
vs 200-day avg+59.2%
vs 50-day avg+21.0%
RSI 14 / RSI 362 / 44
MACD+0.68 falling
Return 1m+16.1%
Return 3m+44.4%
Return 12m+102.7%
From 52-week high-4.9%
Volatility (ATR14)+5.3%
9-23 收 $94.02(9-22 歷史新高 $97.23 後回落 3%),即市 $92.5,RSI3 44 已經冷卻。分數 +60 = 趨勢強,但 RANK 頁判定仍係「等回踩」:入場區 $82–85(50 日線 $76 之上嘅突破回試),現價高過上沿 +9%。9-22 基準率:新高兼超買時買入,20 日內中位回撤 −21%(n=5)。持有者持有;無貨等 $82–85。 — 200 日線之上 +59%,12 個月 +103%;MACD 柱收窄
regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -10
Close$337.02
vs 200-day avg+17.5%
vs 50-day avg+4.9%
RSI 14 / RSI 363 / 51
MACD+1.19 falling
Return 1m+8.6%
Return 3m+15.1%
Return 12m+33.0%
From 52-week high-0.8%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.1%
$337.02,離 52 週高 −0.8%,RSI14 63。+60 → +50。基金持 6 股(平均 $311.02,+8.4%),市值 ~$2,022 = 20% 上限已到,就算有現金都唔可以加。持有。 — 200 日線之上 +18%,12 個月 +33%;MACD 柱收窄;覆蓋 −10
regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -10
Close$249.27
vs 200-day avg+3.6%
vs 50-day avg-2.7%
RSI 14 / RSI 344 / 31
MACD-0.29 falling
Return 1m-4.9%
Return 3m+6.4%
Return 12m+12.9%
From 52-week high-12.2%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.4%
$249.27(週三 −2.2%),50 日線 $256 之下、200 日線 $241 之上,RSI3 31 接近超賣。+45 → +35。基金持 7 股(平均 $256.88,−3%),即市 $246.8。Black Friday 季節性研究(9-18)嘅結論仍然有效:10 月中至 11 月中係歷史升幅集中期,而家嘅回落係持有期內嘅正常波動。持有;跌穿 200 日線 $241 先重新評估。 — 200 日線之上 +4%,12 個月 +13%,但 MACD 轉負 −15;覆蓋 −10
regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback -10 · MACD +15
Close$0.50
vs 200-day avg+50.2%
vs 50-day avg+37.8%
RSI 14 / RSI 370 / 80
MACD+0.01 rising
Return 1m+38.4%
Return 3m+60.7%
Return 12m-45.5%
From 52-week high-47.7%
Volatility (ATR14)+7.0%
9-23 UTC 收 $0.41(高於 200 日線 $0.34);今日進行中嘅 bar 已升到 $0.50(+22%,RSI3 80)——分數 +35 係用未收市價計,收市可能唔同。9-16 再入場條件已達成,執行狀態未確認。持有者:止損 = UTC 收市 <200 日線 $0.34;無貨:入場區 $0.36–0.38,現價已高出 30%+,唔追急升 bar。 — 200 日線之上,MACD 轉正 +15;今日 UTC 未收市 bar 急升 +22% 至 $0.50
regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$84,274.50
vs 200-day avg+18.9%
vs 50-day avg+12.5%
RSI 14 / RSI 365 / 57
MACD+492.80 falling
Return 1m+7.3%
Return 3m+41.1%
Return 12m-25.7%
From 52-week high-32.4%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.0%
9-23 UTC 收 $84,381(第三個收市高於突破位 $82,191),回踩低位 $83,821 = 突破後第 3 日嘅正常回試;即市 $84,270,支持 $84,146、阻力 $87,523。前半接返 0.05 @ $83,000 未成交(離現價 −1.5%)。9-23 統計:突破確認後 30 日內低位觸及 $83,000 機率 58%、$82,191 50%、深層 $78,600 / $77,300 約 30% —— 預期成交一至兩級,唔係全部。訂單不變:0.05 @ $83,000;後半 0.05 只喺 $82,191 回試企穩先掛;深層 0.02 @ $78,600、0.03 @ $77,300 留住;失敗規則 = 收市跌穿 $82,191 且 15 日內收唔返。 — 200 日線之上 +19%,突破後第三日企穩 $82,191;12 個月 −26% 拖低分數
regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$2,672.59
vs 200-day avg+27.8%
vs 50-day avg+14.2%
RSI 14 / RSI 362 / 47
MACD+9.22 falling
Return 1m+9.4%
Return 3m+70.7%
Return 12m-35.7%
From 52-week high-43.0%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.9%
9-23 UTC 收 $2,684,即市 $2,673,回到 $2,665 舊沽出位(而家係支持),下一支持 $2,602。Swing 已沽 1.5(上限),接返 0.75 @ $2,610 / 0.75 @ $2,530 未觸及;收市跌穿 $2,416 就取消接返。冇動作。 — 200 日線之上 +28%,3 個月 +71%;12 個月 −36%
regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$115.34
vs 200-day avg+36.6%
vs 50-day avg+20.5%
RSI 14 / RSI 364 / 58
MACD+0.89 falling
Return 1m+19.4%
Return 3m+70.6%
Return 12m-45.5%
From 52-week high-50.9%
Volatility (ATR14)+4.5%
9-23 UTC 收 $114.99 = 第六個收市高於 $102,即市 $115.3,整固喺 112–119。後半 105–106 未觸及;止損 = 收市 <$102;阻力 $120.94。冇動作。 — 200 日線之上 +37%,3 個月 +71%;12 個月 −46%
regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$162.20
vs 200-day avg+18.6%
vs 50-day avg+40.9%
RSI 14 / RSI 366 / 67
MACD+2.71 falling
Return 1m+32.3%
Return 3m+72.3%
Return 12m-50.5%
From 52-week high-54.9%
Volatility (ATR14)+5.7%
$162.2(週三 −3%,跟 BTC 回踩),即市 $162.9,RSI14 66。分數 +30 BUY。9-18 雙觸發(收市企穩 200 日線 + mNAV 1.04 <1.2)後已升 5%;離 200 日線 $137 有 19% 緩衝。原計劃「一半而家/一半 137–142 回試」不變;佢係 BTC 風險預算嘅一部分,唔係分散。BTC 收市跌穿 $82,191 = MSTR 同步減。 — 200 日線之上 +19%,50 日線之上 +41%;12 個月 −51%
regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$290.17
vs 200-day avg+19.1%
vs 50-day avg+25.5%
RSI 14 / RSI 362 / 53
MACD+5.77 falling
Return 1m+26.6%
Return 3m+36.8%
Return 12m-6.9%
From 52-week high-41.6%
Volatility (ATR14)+7.2%
9-23 UTC 收 $287.17(−8.8%,由 $315 回落),即市 $290,仍高於 200 日線 $243.6 同 50 日線 $231;RSI3 由 96 冷卻到 53。分數 +75 → +30(12 個月動量翻返負)。9-19 再入場(半注)持有者:止損 = UTC 收市 <200 日線 $244;無貨:入場區 $250–265,現價高過上沿 +10%,等。 — 200 日線之上 +19%(9-23 −9% 後),12 個月分數轉返 −10
regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -10
Close$500.59
vs 200-day avg+16.3%
vs 50-day avg+6.3%
RSI 14 / RSI 356 / 61
MACD-2.11 rising
Return 1m+2.7%
Return 3m+37.2%
Return 12m-0.9%
From 52-week high-6.9%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.2%
$500.59,即市 $493.7(−1.4%),RSI14 56。+30 → +20 HOLD。基金持 1 股(平均 $493.69,持平)。持有。 — 200 日線之上 +16%,12 個月持平 −10,MACD 仍負;覆蓋 −10
regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback -20 · MACD +15 · overlay -10
Close$744.10
vs 200-day avg+19.1%
vs 50-day avg+21.6%
RSI 14 / RSI 377 / 85
MACD+12.03 rising
Return 1m+33.2%
Return 3m+33.5%
Return 12m-1.2%
From 52-week high-1.9%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.5%
$744.1,離 52 週高 −1.9%;即市 $766(+3%)再創新高。分數 +25 → +15 HOLD。基金冇持倉;外部持有者:超買追唔過,回踩 50 日線 $612 太遠,合理等待位係 $700–720(9-21 跳空缺口上沿)。 — 三日 +11.7%,RSI3 85、RSI14 77,超買扣 −20;覆蓋 −10
regime +0 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -10
Close$337.83
vs 200-day avg+0.1%
vs 50-day avg-2.1%
RSI 14 / RSI 345 / 23
MACD+0.98 falling
Return 1m-2.9%
Return 3m-2.1%
Return 12m+34.6%
From 52-week high-16.0%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.7%
原因:Meta Connect 前 AI 競爭情緒(Muse 12 日 280 萬下載)、2026 資本開支上調至 $195–205B、反壟斷罰款,加上債息急升壓估值。RSI3 23 短線超賣,即市 $339.3(+0.4%)。分數 +10 → 0 HOLD。基金持 GOOG 4 股(平均 $343.91,−1.8%)。規則:200 日線係「睇住」唔係「沽出」——如果收市跌穿 $337.55,regime 轉負,分數會跌到 −30 = TRIM 25%(1 股 ≈ $338,手續費 $1);收市企穩就繼續持有。支持 $337.2(6 月低)、阻力 $343。 — 週三 −3.8% 收 $337.83,坐喺 200 日線 $337.55(+0.1%),regime 分數歸零;覆蓋 −10
regime -40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15
Close$84.75
vs 200-day avg-5.5%
vs 50-day avg-0.4%
RSI 14 / RSI 344 / 28
MACD-0.28 falling
Return 1m-7.9%
Return 3m+7.4%
Return 12m+13.7%
From 52-week high-20.6%
Volatility (ATR14)+1.9%
$84.75(週三 −1.8%),200 日線 $89.7、50 日線 $85.1 之下,離 52 週高 −21%,RSI3 28。分數 −35 TRIM。基金冇持倉;外部持有黃金者:呢個係 TRIM 25% 訊號——債息 5.39% 係黃金嘅直接對手,趨勢未轉。反彈至 50 日線 $85–86 係減持位;收市重上 200 日線 $89.7 先取消訊號。 — 跌穿 200 日線 −6%,MACD 負;12 個月 +14% 撐住
regime -40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +15 · overlay -10
Close$380.12
vs 200-day avg-4.1%
vs 50-day avg+8.9%
RSI 14 / RSI 361 / 88
MACD+1.70 rising
Return 1m+8.9%
Return 3m+1.2%
Return 12m-10.7%
From 52-week high-22.4%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.3%
$380.12,連續四日反彈但仍低於 200 日線 $396,RSI3 88 = 反彈已經拉盡。−35 → −45 TRIM。基金冇持倉;外部持有者:呢種 200 日線之下嘅反彈係「趁強沽出」位,$396 200 日線係阻力;收市重上 200 日線先改觀。 — 200 日線之下 −4%,12 個月 −11%;RSI3 88 反彈至阻力;覆蓋 −10
Portfolio
What you currently hold. The whole fund is one cash pool. The last column echoes today's suggested action.
| Ticker | Shares | Avg cost | Price |
Value | Unrealized P&L | Today's action |
|---|
| AAPL |
6 |
$311.02 |
$337.02 |
$2,022.12 |
$155.98 (+8.4%) |
BUY |
| AMZN |
7 |
$256.88 |
$249.27 |
$1,744.89 |
$-53.29 (-3.0%) |
BUY |
| GOOG |
4 |
$343.91 |
$337.83 |
$1,351.32 |
$-24.32 (-1.8%) |
HOLD |
| MSFT |
1 |
$493.69 |
$500.59 |
$500.59 |
$6.90 (+1.4%) |
HOLD |
| NVDA |
7 |
$221.85 |
$225.51 |
$1,578.57 |
$25.64 (+1.7%) |
STRONG BUY |
| QQQ |
3 |
$712.03 |
$741.21 |
$2,223.63 |
$87.53 (+4.1%) |
STRONG BUY |
| SPY |
1 |
$761.52 |
$767.81 |
$767.81 |
$6.29 (+0.8%) |
STRONG BUY |
Trade log
| Date | Ticker | Side | Qty | Price |
Amount | Fee | Realized P&L | Note |
|---|
| 2026-08-20 | QQQ |
BUY | 1.0 |
$712.80 | $712.80 |
$1.00 |
— | STRONG BUY +60; user chose 1 whole share over suggested 0.349 |
| 2026-08-21 | NVDA |
BUY | 4.0 |
$217.64 | $870.56 |
$1.00 |
— | STRONG BUY +60 (quant +75, -15 earnings overlay) |
| 2026-08-21 | QQQ |
BUY | 1.0 |
$712.85 | $712.85 |
$1.00 |
— | STRONG BUY +75, second tranche |
| 2026-08-22 | AAPL |
BUY | 3.0 |
$310.81 | $932.43 |
$1.00 |
— | STRONG BUY +60, primary candidate 2026-08-22 |
| 2026-08-24 | AAPL |
BUY | 3.0 |
$310.57 | $931.71 |
$1.00 |
— | user fill 2026-08-24 |
| 2026-08-24 | GOOG |
BUY | 1.0 |
$341.14 | $341.14 |
$1.00 |
— | user fill 2026-08-24 |
| 2026-08-25 | GOOG |
BUY | 1.0 |
$344.81 | $344.81 |
$1.00 |
— | GOOGL score +50, class-swap leg |
| 2026-08-25 | QQQ |
BUY | 1.0 |
$707.45 | $707.45 |
$1.00 |
— | score +45 (quant +60, -15 NVDA earnings/PCE event), pullback entry |
| 2026-08-26 | GOOG |
BUY | 1.0 |
$342.33 | $342.33 |
$1.00 |
— | GOOGL +50/-15 event overlay, class-swap leg |
| 2026-08-26 | AMZN |
BUY | 2.0 |
$259.93 | $519.86 |
$1.00 |
— | score +50/-15 event overlay, first position |
| 2026-08-27 | MSFT |
BUY | 1.0 |
$492.69 | $492.69 |
$1.00 |
— | score +30, first-time qualifier post NVDA-beat |
| 2026-08-31 | NVDA |
BUY | 1.0 |
$218.43 | $218.43 |
$1.00 |
— | score +45 post-earnings digestion entry |
| 2026-09-08 | AMZN |
BUY | 2.0 |
$258.50 | $517.00 |
$1.00 |
— | score +60 動能修復 2026-09-08 |
| 2026-09-08 | NVDA |
BUY | 2.0 |
$230.47 | $460.94 |
$1.00 |
— | score +75 全場最高分 2026-09-08 |
| 2026-09-14 | SPY |
BUY | 1.0 |
$760.52 | $760.52 |
$1.00 |
— | score +60, FOMC overlay -10 = +50; 七度押後後執行, 夜盤成交 |
| 2026-09-17 | AMZN |
BUY | 2.0 |
$249.23 | $498.46 |
$1.00 |
— | score +70 回調入場首次觸發 2026-09-17, 夜盤成交 |
| 2026-09-17 | GOOG |
BUY | 1.0 |
$343.36 | $343.36 |
$1.00 |
— | GOOGL score +65 MACD 轉正, class-swap leg (GOOG), 夜盤成交 |
| 2026-09-22 | AMZN |
BUY | 1.0 |
$258.86 | $258.86 |
$1.00 |
— | score +60, 用盡現金嘅可選注 2026-09-22 夜盤 |
Total realized P&L: $0.00
Past editions: 2026-10-15 · 2026-10-14 · 2026-10-12 · 2026-10-10 · 2026-10-08 · 2026-10-07 · 2026-10-06 · 2026-10-03 · 2026-10-02 · 2026-09-30 · 2026-09-26 · 2026-09-25 · 2026-09-24 · 2026-09-23