Invest Daily Brief

Fund value$10,207+2.1% since 2026-08-20

Cash$16ready to deploy

Positions$10,191100% deployed

Unrealized P&L$207open positions

Macro overlay

週四美股:標普 −0.8%、納指 100 −1.1%、道指 −0.7%;10 年期美債息升穿 5%(2007 年以來首次),又一位聯儲官員主張加息。Trump–習峰會結果:貿易休戰延長兩個月、討論 AI 事故通報機制——事件風險已解除,但債息 5% 係新常態,基金宇宙覆蓋由 −10 收窄到 −5;加密唔調整。GOOGL 週四 +1.3% 收 $342.36,收返 200 日線($337.6)之上,昨日嘅「睇住」解除。META 週四 +4.5% 創新高 $777.59(分析員追加目標價),但今日即市 −3.4% 回吐,RSI3 92 超買扣 −25。MSFT 今日即市 +3.75%(+2.66σ,notable),原因係分析員升評級/目標價,唔係業績——MSFT ≥2σ 升日後 20 日勝率只有 30%(n=10),基金持 1 股照揸唔追。基金現金 $15.80,100% 投入——今日冇訂單。加密:BTC 9-24 UTC 收 $84,381 第四日企穩突破位,低位 $82,790 穿過 $83,000,前半接返 0.05 已成交;SOL 撞 $120.94 阻力;TAO 兩日反彈至 $303 分數回到 +60;ONDO 兩日 +32%(進行中 bar)。美股即市數據係週四收市價(報告喺美股交易時段生成)。

Events: 峰會:休戰延長兩個月(事件風險解除;覆蓋收窄至 −5) · 10 年期美債息升穿 5%,2007 年以來首次 · MSFT 即市 +3.75%(+2.66σ);META 即市 −3.4% 回吐 · PCE 9-30;基金 100% 投入,現金 $15.80

Today's orders

No orders today — nothing to buy or sell; holds and signals are on the scoreboard below.

Scoreboard

Ticker	Price	1m	12m	vs 200D	Score	Action
Fund universe — US stocks
SPY	$767.18	+0.4%	+17.3%	+7.4%	+55	BUY
QQQ	$741.10	+4.4%	+24.9%	+11.7%	+55	BUY
NVDA	$224.58	+5.5%	+27.2%	+12.9%	+55	BUY
AAPL	$335.92	+8.4%	+33.6%	+17.0%	+55	BUY
GOOGL	$342.36	-1.3%	+38.9%	+1.4%	+45	BUY
META	$777.59	+36.5%	+2.6%	+24.4%	+45	BUY
AMZN	$249.38	-4.5%	+13.2%	+3.6%	+40	BUY
MSFT	$497.93	+1.3%	-1.6%	+15.7%	+25	HOLD
TSLA	$377.94	+7.9%	-14.6%	-4.5%	-55	TRIM
Watch only — external accounts
HYPE	$92.06	+11.9%	+128.2%	+57.7%	+60	STRONG BUY
TAO	$302.88	+29.0%	+1.5%	+24.1%	+60	STRONG BUY
SOL	$120.17	+17.8%	-37.7%	+42.0%	+45	BUY
ONDO	$0.54	+44.1%	-38.2%	+60.4%	+35	BUY
BTC	$83,780.28	+6.0%	-23.2%	+18.1%	+30	BUY
ETH	$2,689.48	+7.3%	-30.6%	+28.4%	+30	BUY
MSTR	$161.61	+27.4%	-50.0%	+18.2%	+30	BUY
GLDM	$84.52	-8.5%	+14.4%	-5.8%	-35	TRIM

Ticker analysis

HYPE watch only

$92.06 · as of 2026-09-25 · tiingo

STRONG BUY

−100

+100 +60

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

Close$92.06

vs 200-day avg+57.7%

vs 50-day avg+19.4%

RSI 14 / RSI 361 / 41

MACD+0.40 falling

Return 1m+11.9%

Return 3m+43.2%

Return 12m+128.2%

From 52-week high-5.3%

Volatility (ATR14)+5.2%

9-24 收 $92.10,即市 $92.06,離 9-22 新高 $97.23 −5%,RSI3 41 已冷卻。分數 +60 = 趨勢強;RANK 判定仍係「等回踩」:入場區 $82–85,現價高過上沿 +8%。持有者持有;無貨等 $82–85。 — 200 日線之上 +58%,12 個月 +128%

TAO watch only

$302.88 · as of 2026-09-25 · tiingo

STRONG BUY

−100

+100 +60

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

Close$302.88

vs 200-day avg+24.1%

vs 50-day avg+29.7%

RSI 14 / RSI 365 / 65

MACD+5.85 falling

Return 1m+29.0%

Return 3m+41.4%

Return 12m+1.5%

From 52-week high-39.1%

Volatility (ATR14)+7.1%

9-24 UTC 收 $296.46,即市 $302.9(兩日由 $287 反彈 5.5%),RSI3 65。分數 +30 → +60(12 個月回報 +2%,剛好過門檻,分數會喺 +30/+60 之間跳動)。9-19 再入場(半注)持有者:止損 = UTC 收市 <200 日線 $244;無貨:入場區 $250–265,現價高過上沿 +14%,等。 — 200 日線之上 +24%,12 個月動量翻正 +20(剛好 +2%);MACD 正

SPY

$767.18 · as of 2026-09-24 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +55

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -5

Close$767.18

vs 200-day avg+7.4%

vs 50-day avg+1.0%

RSI 14 / RSI 354 / 49

MACD+0.62 falling

Return 1m+0.4%

Return 3m+4.7%

Return 12m+17.3%

From 52-week high-1.1%

Volatility (ATR14)+0.9%

$767.18,離 52 週高 −1.1%,RSI14 54。分數 +60 → +55 BUY(MACD 確認由 +15 跌到 0,係降級主因)。基金持 1 股(平均 $761.52),現金 $15.80 冇得加。即市 $769.7(+0.3%)。10 年期 5% 係估值頂嘅直接壓力,但 SPY 仍喺 50 日線 $760 之上。持有。 — 200 日線之上 +7.4%,12 個月 +17%;MACD 柱停止上升(+15 → 0);債息覆蓋 −5

QQQ

$741.10 · as of 2026-09-24 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +55

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -5

Close$741.10

vs 200-day avg+11.7%

vs 50-day avg+4.2%

RSI 14 / RSI 363 / 70

MACD+3.55 falling

Return 1m+4.4%

Return 3m+3.6%

Return 12m+24.9%

From 52-week high-0.9%

Volatility (ATR14)+1.3%

$741.1,離 52 週高 −0.9%,RSI3 70。+60 → +55 BUY。基金持 3 股(平均 $712.03,+4.1%)。即市 $744(+0.4%)。持有;回踩 50 日線 $711 係新資金入場位。 — 200 日線之上 +12%;MACD 確認歸零;覆蓋 −5

NVDA

$224.58 · as of 2026-09-24 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +55

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -5

Close$224.58

vs 200-day avg+12.9%

vs 50-day avg+4.2%

RSI 14 / RSI 355 / 51

MACD+0.42 falling

Return 1m+5.5%

Return 3m+14.9%

Return 12m+27.2%

From 52-week high-4.5%

Volatility (ATR14)+2.7%

$224.58,離 52 週高 −4.5%,RSI14 55。+60 → +55 BUY。基金持 7 股(平均 $221.85,+1.2%),冇現金加。即市 $224.6 持平。持有;50 日線 $215 係入場位。 — 200 日線之上 +13%,12 個月 +27%;MACD 確認歸零;覆蓋 −5

AAPL

$335.92 · as of 2026-09-24 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +55

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -5

Close$335.92

vs 200-day avg+17.0%

vs 50-day avg+4.5%

RSI 14 / RSI 361 / 41

MACD+0.80 falling

Return 1m+8.4%

Return 3m+22.2%

Return 12m+33.6%

From 52-week high-1.1%

Volatility (ATR14)+2.1%

$335.92(三日回落 1.1%),RSI3 41。+60 → +55 BUY。基金持 6 股(平均 $311.02,+8%),市值 ~$2,016 = 20% 上限。持有。 — 200 日線之上 +17%,12 個月 +34%;覆蓋 −5

GOOGL

$342.36 · as of 2026-09-24 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +45

regime +40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -5

Close$342.36

vs 200-day avg+1.4%

vs 50-day avg-0.6%

RSI 14 / RSI 349 / 41

MACD+0.61 falling

Return 1m-1.3%

Return 3m-0.3%

Return 12m+38.9%

From 52-week high-14.9%

Volatility (ATR14)+2.6%

昨日「坐喺 200 日線」嘅警號解除:收市 $342.36 高於 200 日線 1.4%,RSI3 41 由超賣回升。分數 +50 → +45 BUY。基金持 GOOG 4 股(平均 $343.91,−0.5%),即市 $343.7。規則不變:只有收市跌穿 $337.6 先觸發 TRIM 1 股;而家持有。阻力 $343 → $351(9-22 收市)。 — 週四 +1.3% 收 $342.36,收返 200 日線 $337.6 之上,regime 回到 +40;覆蓋 −5

SOL watch only

$120.17 · as of 2026-09-25 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +45

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +15

Close$120.17

vs 200-day avg+42.0%

vs 50-day avg+24.3%

RSI 14 / RSI 368 / 78

MACD+1.06 rising

Return 1m+17.8%

Return 3m+67.4%

Return 12m-37.7%

From 52-week high-48.8%

Volatility (ATR14)+4.5%

9-24 UTC 收 $117.00 = 第七日企穩 $102;即市 $120.2,今日高位 $122.14 刺穿 $120.94 阻力,RSI3 78。分數 +30 → +45(MACD 確認)。後半 105–106 離現價 12% 未到;止損 = UTC 收市 <$102。撞阻力唔追。 — 200 日線之上 +42%,MACD 轉正 +15;12 個月 −38%

AMZN

$249.38 · as of 2026-09-24 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +40

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -5

Close$249.38

vs 200-day avg+3.6%

vs 50-day avg-2.6%

RSI 14 / RSI 344 / 32

MACD-0.40 falling

Return 1m-4.5%

Return 3m+9.9%

Return 12m+13.2%

From 52-week high-12.2%

Volatility (ATR14)+2.4%

$249.38,50 日線 $256 之下,RSI3 32。+45 → +40 BUY。基金持 7 股(平均 $256.88,−2.9%),即市 $249。Black Friday 季節性窗口(10 月中起)未開始,而家係持有期。跌穿 200 日線 $240.6 先重新評估。 — 200 日線之上 +3.6%,MACD 負 −15;覆蓋 −5

ONDO watch only

$0.54 · as of 2026-09-25 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +35

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback -10 · MACD +15

Close$0.54

vs 200-day avg+60.4%

vs 50-day avg+46.2%

RSI 14 / RSI 374 / 85

MACD+0.02 rising

Return 1m+44.1%

Return 3m+70.5%

Return 12m-38.2%

From 52-week high-43.9%

Volatility (ATR14)+7.1%

9-24 UTC 收 $0.52(+27%),今日進行中 $0.54(兩日 +32%),RSI3 85。分數 +35 係用未收市價計。9-16 再入場條件已達成,執行狀態未確認。持有者:止損 = UTC 收市 <200 日線 $0.34,急升後可考慮喺 $0.55–0.60 減一部分 swing;無貨:入場區 $0.36–0.38 已遠,唔追。 — 200 日線之上 +60%,MACD 正 +15;RSI3 85 超買扣 −10;今日 bar 進行中

BTC watch only

$83,780.28 · as of 2026-09-25 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +30

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

Close$83,780.28

vs 200-day avg+18.1%

vs 50-day avg+11.2%

RSI 14 / RSI 363 / 47

MACD+374.12 falling

Return 1m+6.0%

Return 3m+39.6%

Return 12m-23.2%

From 52-week high-32.8%

Volatility (ATR14)+3.0%

9-24 UTC 收 $84,381 = 第四個收市高於突破位;9-24 低位 $82,790 穿過 $83,000——前半接返 0.05 @ $83,000 已成交(用戶確認)。即市 $83,780,今日區間 $83,125–85,210。沽出 0.10 平均 $81,150、接返 0.05 @ $83,000:呢一半嘅代價係 2.3%(約 0.001 BTC),係突破支線嘅正常成本。後半 0.05 只喺 $82,191 回試企穩先掛;深層 $78,600 / $77,300 留住;失敗 = 收市跌穿 $82,191 且 15 日內收唔返。 — 200 日線之上 +18%,突破後第四日企穩 $82,191;12 個月 −23% 拖低

ETH watch only

$2,689.48 · as of 2026-09-25 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +30

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

Close$2,689.48

vs 200-day avg+28.4%

vs 50-day avg+14.1%

RSI 14 / RSI 364 / 54

MACD+6.86 falling

Return 1m+7.3%

Return 3m+70.6%

Return 12m-30.6%

From 52-week high-42.6%

Volatility (ATR14)+3.8%

9-24 UTC 收 $2,687,低位 $2,628 未觸及接返 $2,610(差 0.7%)。即市 $2,689。Swing 已沽 1.5(上限);接返 0.75 @ $2,610 / 0.75 @ $2,530 留住;收市跌穿 $2,416 取消。阻力 $2,746 / $2,790。 — 200 日線之上 +28%,3 個月 +71%;12 個月 −31%

MSTR watch only

$161.61 · as of 2026-09-24 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +30

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

Close$161.61

vs 200-day avg+18.2%

vs 50-day avg+38.9%

RSI 14 / RSI 366 / 64

MACD+2.42 falling

Return 1m+27.4%

Return 3m+89.4%

Return 12m-50.0%

From 52-week high-55.1%

Volatility (ATR14)+5.6%

$161.61,即市 $159.2(−1.5%),跟 BTC 整固。+30 BUY。離 200 日線 $137 有 18% 緩衝;原計劃「一半而家/一半 137–142 回試」不變。BTC 收市跌穿 $82,191 = MSTR 同步減。 — 200 日線之上 +18%,50 日線之上 +39%;12 個月 −50%

MSFT

$497.93 · as of 2026-09-24 · tiingo

HOLD

−100

+100 +25

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -5

Close$497.93

vs 200-day avg+15.7%

vs 50-day avg+5.2%

RSI 14 / RSI 354 / 47

MACD-2.04 rising

Return 1m+1.3%

Return 3m+41.4%

Return 12m-1.6%

From 52-week high-7.4%

Volatility (ATR14)+2.2%

週四收 $497.93;今日即市 $516.6(+3.75%,+2.66σ),原因係分析員升評級/目標價,唔係業績——屬情緒推動。MSFT ≥2σ 升日後翌日勝率 40%、20 日勝率 30%、20 日平均 −2.6%(n=10):追升冇優勢。分數 +30 → +25 HOLD。基金持 1 股(平均 $493.69,+4.6%);1 股唔夠減(TRIM 要 −30 分先觸發),持有。阻力 $524(10 月高位)。 — 200 日線之上 +16%,12 個月 −2%;MACD 負;覆蓋 −5;即市 +3.75% = +2.66σ(notable)

GLDM watch only

$84.52 · as of 2026-09-24 · tiingo

TRIM

−100

+100 -35

regime -40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

Close$84.52

vs 200-day avg-5.8%

vs 50-day avg-0.8%

RSI 14 / RSI 344 / 25

MACD-0.30 falling

Return 1m-8.5%

Return 3m+6.1%

Return 12m+14.4%

From 52-week high-20.8%

Volatility (ATR14)+1.8%

$84.52,200 日線 $89.7 之下,RSI3 25 短線超賣,離 52 週高 −21%。−35 TRIM。基金冇持倉;外部持金者:10 年期 5% 係黃金嘅直接對手——反彈至 50 日線 $85–86 減 25%;收市重上 $89.7 先取消訊號。 — 跌穿 200 日線 −5.8%,MACD 負;12 個月 +14%

TSLA

$377.94 · as of 2026-09-24 · tiingo

TRIM

−100

+100 -55

regime -40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -5

Close$377.94

vs 200-day avg-4.5%

vs 50-day avg+8.4%

RSI 14 / RSI 359 / 69

MACD+1.63 falling

Return 1m+7.9%

Return 3m+0.8%

Return 12m-14.6%

From 52-week high-22.9%

Volatility (ATR14)+3.2%

$377.94,即市 $372.6(−1.4%),反彈喺 200 日線 $396 之下夭折。−50 → −55 TRIM。基金冇持倉;外部持有者:200 日線之下嘅反彈係趁強沽出位,$396 係阻力;收市重上先改觀。 — 200 日線之下 −4.5%,12 個月 −15%;MACD 確認歸零;覆蓋 −5

Portfolio

What you currently hold. The whole fund is one cash pool. The last column echoes today's suggested action.

Ticker	Shares	Avg cost	Price	Value	Unrealized P&L	Today's action
AAPL	6	$311.02	$335.92	$2,015.52	$149.38 (+8.0%)	BUY
AMZN	7	$256.88	$249.38	$1,745.66	$-52.52 (-2.9%)	BUY
GOOG	4	$343.91	$342.36	$1,369.44	$-6.20 (-0.5%)	BUY
MSFT	1	$493.69	$497.93	$497.93	$4.24 (+0.9%)	HOLD
NVDA	7	$221.85	$224.58	$1,572.06	$19.13 (+1.2%)	BUY
QQQ	3	$712.03	$741.10	$2,223.30	$87.20 (+4.1%)	BUY
SPY	1	$761.52	$767.18	$767.18	$5.66 (+0.7%)	BUY

Trade log

Date	Ticker	Side	Qty	Price	Amount	Fee	Realized P&L	Note
2026-08-20	QQQ	BUY	1.0	$712.80	$712.80	$1.00	—	STRONG BUY +60; user chose 1 whole share over suggested 0.349
2026-08-21	NVDA	BUY	4.0	$217.64	$870.56	$1.00	—	STRONG BUY +60 (quant +75, -15 earnings overlay)
2026-08-21	QQQ	BUY	1.0	$712.85	$712.85	$1.00	—	STRONG BUY +75, second tranche
2026-08-22	AAPL	BUY	3.0	$310.81	$932.43	$1.00	—	STRONG BUY +60, primary candidate 2026-08-22
2026-08-24	AAPL	BUY	3.0	$310.57	$931.71	$1.00	—	user fill 2026-08-24
2026-08-24	GOOG	BUY	1.0	$341.14	$341.14	$1.00	—	user fill 2026-08-24
2026-08-25	GOOG	BUY	1.0	$344.81	$344.81	$1.00	—	GOOGL score +50, class-swap leg
2026-08-25	QQQ	BUY	1.0	$707.45	$707.45	$1.00	—	score +45 (quant +60, -15 NVDA earnings/PCE event), pullback entry
2026-08-26	GOOG	BUY	1.0	$342.33	$342.33	$1.00	—	GOOGL +50/-15 event overlay, class-swap leg
2026-08-26	AMZN	BUY	2.0	$259.93	$519.86	$1.00	—	score +50/-15 event overlay, first position
2026-08-27	MSFT	BUY	1.0	$492.69	$492.69	$1.00	—	score +30, first-time qualifier post NVDA-beat
2026-08-31	NVDA	BUY	1.0	$218.43	$218.43	$1.00	—	score +45 post-earnings digestion entry
2026-09-08	AMZN	BUY	2.0	$258.50	$517.00	$1.00	—	score +60 動能修復 2026-09-08
2026-09-08	NVDA	BUY	2.0	$230.47	$460.94	$1.00	—	score +75 全場最高分 2026-09-08
2026-09-14	SPY	BUY	1.0	$760.52	$760.52	$1.00	—	score +60, FOMC overlay -10 = +50; 七度押後後執行, 夜盤成交
2026-09-17	AMZN	BUY	2.0	$249.23	$498.46	$1.00	—	score +70 回調入場首次觸發 2026-09-17, 夜盤成交
2026-09-17	GOOG	BUY	1.0	$343.36	$343.36	$1.00	—	GOOGL score +65 MACD 轉正, class-swap leg (GOOG), 夜盤成交
2026-09-22	AMZN	BUY	1.0	$258.86	$258.86	$1.00	—	score +60, 用盡現金嘅可選注 2026-09-22 夜盤

Total realized P&L: $0.00

Past editions: 2026-10-15 · 2026-10-14 · 2026-10-12 · 2026-10-10 · 2026-10-08 · 2026-10-07 · 2026-10-06 · 2026-10-03 · 2026-10-02 · 2026-09-30 · 2026-09-26 · 2026-09-25 · 2026-09-24 · 2026-09-23